AI総合サービスのヘッドウォータース、財務良好、成長力も問題なしだが、株価高額...

Headwaters, an AI integrated service, has good finances and no issues with growth potential, but the stock price is high...

2924/04/10

クリスのレポート

AIのSIとコンサルティング企業。一気通貫とエンジニアの育成が強み。得意分野は画像、音声、顔認識。市場はこれから大きく拡大すると予測している。自己資本率74.3%、流動比率3.69、キャッシュフロー全体でプラスと財務的には良い。成長力もあり2023年12期で47％成長している。

Chris's report 

An AI SI and consulting company. Its strengths are end-to-end service and engineer training. Specializes in image, voice, and facial recognition technologies. The market is expected to expand significantly in the future. Financially sound with an equity ratio of 74.3%, a current ratio of 3.69, and overall positive cash flow. Also showing growth potential, with a 47% increase in the 12th period of 2023.

インサイト

楽天証券のアプリで今日の株価値上がり幅ランキングで出てきた、時価総額が300億以下の会社。

Insight 

A company with a market capitalization of 30 billion or less appeared in today's stock price increase ranking on the Rakuten Securities app.

ミナの判断

AI銘柄と言うことで株価が上がっている。SIやコンサルに投資するのはしっくりこないがトレンドは捉えており、投資検討に上がっても良いと思う。予想PERが150−300で推移しており高い。PER120ぐらい1万円程度であれば買いたい。

Mina's judgment 

The stock price is increasing because it is categorized as an AI stock. Although investing in SI and consulting doesn't quite fit well with me, it captures the trend and I think it merits consideration for investment. The forecasted PER is high, fluctuating between 150 and 300. I would be interested in buying if the PER were around 120 at a price of about 10,000 yen.

2024/04/9 結果

はじめての+10万円。

1億には1000倍www

The first +100,000 yen.

To reach 100 million, it's 1000 times that, lol.

2024/04/08 結果

アイビスが赤から少し黒転した😇

Ibis has changed from negative to slightly positive😇

ヘムさん@pygmy_hemのXでのPERの話

Mr. Hem( @pygmy_hem ) 's Commentt on P/E Ratio at X

PERの基本（初級）

PER=株価÷EPS

利益何年分で元が取れるかという概念
数字が高ければ割高、低ければ割安

The Basics of PER (Beginner Level)

PER= Stock Price ÷ EPS (Earnings Per Share)

Concept of how many years of profits it takes to recover the costI

If the number is high, it's considered overvalued; if low, undervalued

PERの基本（中級）

PER=市場の期待成長率

市場にはPER5倍とPER30倍の会社があるが、実際の投資では同じEPSは続かないため、PER30倍の会社が成長期待で高評価される理由は、将来の利益、EPSの成長が予想されるから。PERは企業への成長期待を反映する。

The Basics of P/E Ratio (Intermediate)

P/E Ratio = Market's Expected Growth Rate

In the market, there are companies with a P/E ratio of 5 and those with a ratio of 30. However, in real investments, the same EPS does not continue, which is why companies with a P/E ratio of 30 are highly valued due to growth expectations, as future profit and EPS growth are anticipated. The P/E ratio reflects the growth expectations for a company.

PERの基本(上級)

PER=1/(r - g)

r : 割引率 = 投資家のリターン

g : 利益の成長率

The Basics of P/E Ratio(Advanced)

P/E Ratio = 1 / (r - g)

r: Discount Rate = Investor's Return

g: Growth Rate of Earnings

PERの基本（超上級）

キャッシュニュートラルPER = 資産価値を含めたPER

企業には今まで蓄積した資産があり、これを加味して元本の回収を考える必要がある。

・時価総額が100億円

・ネットキャッシュ30億円

（現金＋投資有価証券 X 70%ー負債）

・当期純利益10億円

・PERは10倍

100億円の会社だが、30億円の現金があると言えるので、70億円で買える。

そのため、キャッシュニュートラルPERは7倍。

The Basics of P/E Ratio (Expert Level)

Cash-Neutral P/E Ratio = P/E Ratio Including Asset Value

Companies have accumulated assets over time, which must be considered when calculating the return of principal.

Market capitalization of 10 billion yen

Net cash of 3 billion yen (Cash + Investment Securities X 70% - Debt)

Net income of 1 billion yen

P/E ratio is 10 times

Although the company is valued at 10 billion yen, it effectively has 3 billion yen in cash, making the purchase price 7 billion yen. Therefore, the cash-neutral P/E ratio is 7 times.

2024/04/05 結果

アイビスが損切りラインの-8%に近づく🥺

Ibis is approaching the stop-loss line at -8% 🥺

2024/04/04 結果

お絵描きアプリのアイビス、上場後も高成長維持で好印象

2024/04/03

The drawing app ibis maintains high growth post-IPO, leaving a favorable impression.

クリスのレポート

お絵描きアプリの会社。派遣や外注のビジネスもやっており、売上の30％がそこ。自己資本率61.1%、流動比率2.37、キャッシュフロー全体で＋と財務的には良い。成長力もあり、2022年度で20％の成長をしており、Z世代に人気のアプリを開発している。成長性が続く限りは投資検討に値する魅力がある。

Chris's report 

A company behind a drawing app. It also engages in staffing and outsourcing business, with 30% of its revenue coming from that segment. Financially sound with an equity ratio of 61.1%, a current ratio of 2.37, and overall positive cash flow. It has growth potential, having grown 20% in the fiscal year 2022, and develops apps popular among Generation Z. As long as its growth continues, it has attractive qualities worth considering for investment.

インサイト

楽天証券のアプリで今日の株価値上がり幅ランキングで出てきた、時価総額が300億以下の会社。

Insight

A company with a market capitalization of less than 30 billion appeared in today's stock price increase ranking on the Rakuten Securities app.

ミナの判断

イラストを描くと言う行為の長期的なトレンドがよくわからないが、市場規模と獲得市場の乖離が大きいため、まだ2−3年は高成長が維持されると考えられるため中期的に保持し売却を考えても良い銘柄。

Mina's judgment 

The long-term trend of drawing illustrations is unclear, but due to the large gap between market size and captured market, it's believed that high growth can be maintained for another 2-3 years. Therefore, it could be a good stock to hold in the medium term and consider selling later.

時価総額 Market capitalization  

  NOW   127億 12.7billion

  My Forecast. 207億 20.7billion

PER

  SBI Forcast 19.8

  My Forcast 50-40

純利益 Net income

  NOW  288,575千円 288million

  My Forcast 415,548千円 415million

EPS

  SBI Forcast 181.6

  My Forcast 114

株価 Stock price

  NOW. 3470円

  My Forcast 5716-4573円